Monitor multilateral institutions and open data sources weekly for banking sector vulnerability indicators across MENA and Africa countries. Sources to monitor: - IMF: imf.org — Article IV consultation reports, Financial System Stability Assessments (FSSAs), Financial Sector Assessment Programs (FSAPs), World Economic Outlook updates, Regional Economic Outlooks (Middle East & Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa), Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR), Press releases on emergency financing or program reviews mentioning banking sectors - World Bank: worldbank.org — Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs), Global Financial Development Database updates, country-level banking sector reports, IDA/IBRD program documents mentioning banking crises - BIS (Bank for International Settlements): bis.org — Quarterly Review, banking statistics, FSB publications, Basel Committee guidance - Financial Stability Board (FSB): fsb.org — vulnerability assessments, G-SIFI lists, resolution planning - FATF and regional bodies (MENAFATF, ESAAMLG, GIABA, GABAC): Mutual evaluation reports, follow-up reports, grey/black list changes affecting covered countries - African Development Bank (AfDB): afdb.org — banking sector assessments, financial sector development reports - Moody's, S&P, Fitch sovereign rating actions — insofar as they affect bank ratings via sovereign ceiling - Transparency International CPI updates — for countries with significant governance risk - Crisis Group and Oxford Analytica — geopolitical risk updates with banking sector implications Flag any: - FSI deterioration: NPL ratios rising above 10%, capital adequacy below minimum, ROA/ROE turning negative at system level - FSAP/FSSA findings highlighting specific institutional vulnerabilities - IMF Article IV consultations flagging banking sector risks in covered countries - New FATF grey/black list designations or upgrades affecting covered countries - Sovereign rating downgrades that would mechanically floor bank ratings - New emergency IMF programs (SBA, RFI, FCL) suggesting systemic country stress - AfDB or World Bank emergency banking sector interventions - BIS cross-border exposure data showing unusual concentration risk For each item: 1. Country and banking system affected (or specific institution if named) 2. Source and publication 3. Key metric or finding 4. Severity: LOW / MEDIUM / HIGH / CRITICAL 5. English summary (2-3 sentences) 6. Source URL and date
Monitor multilateral institutions and open data sources weekly for banking sector vulnerability indicators across MENA and Africa countries.
Sources to monitor:
- IMF: imf.org — Article IV consultation reports, Financial System Stability Assessments (FSSAs), Financial Sector Assessment Programs (FSAPs), World Economic Outlook updates, Regional Economic Outlooks (Middle East & Central Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa), Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR), Press releases on emergency financing or program reviews mentioning banking sectors
- World Bank: worldbank.org — Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs), Global Financial Development Database updates, country-level banking sector reports, IDA/IBRD program documents mentioning banking crises
- BIS (Bank for International Settlements): bis.org — Quarterly Review, banking statistics, FSB publications, Basel Committee guidance
- Financial Stability Board (FSB): fsb.org — vulnerability assessments, G-SIFI lists, resolution planning
- FATF and regional bodies (MENAFATF, ESAAMLG, GIABA, GABAC): Mutual evaluation reports, follow-up reports, grey/black list changes affecting covered countries
- African Development Bank (AfDB): afdb.org — banking sector assessments, financial sector development reports
- Moody's, S&P, Fitch sovereign rating actions — insofar as they affect bank ratings via sovereign ceiling
- Transparency International CPI updates — for countries with significant governance risk
- Crisis Group and Oxford Analytica — geopolitical risk updates with banking sector implications
Flag any:
- FSI deterioration: NPL ratios rising above 10%, capital adequacy below minimum, ROA/ROE turning negative at system level
- FSAP/FSSA findings highlighting specific institutional vulnerabilities
- IMF Article IV consultations flagging banking sector risks in covered countries
- New FATF grey/black list designations or upgrades affecting covered countries
- Sovereign rating downgrades that would mechanically floor bank ratings
- New emergency IMF programs (SBA, RFI, FCL) suggesting systemic country stress
- AfDB or World Bank emergency banking sector interventions
- BIS cross-border exposure data showing unusual concentration risk
For each item:
1. Country and banking system affected (or specific institution if named)
2. Source and publication
3. Key metric or finding
4. Severity: LOW / MEDIUM / HIGH / CRITICAL
5. English summary (2-3 sentences)
6. Source URL and date